Pre-season is done; who stays and who goes?

Now that the pre-season has come to an end, it's time to debate over those last few roster cuts. The Leafs are currently at 29 players, which needs to be cut down to 23 by the season opener on Wednesday.

The list of players:

• Phil Kessel
• Tyler Bozak
• James Van Riemsdyk
• Joffrey Lupul
• Nazem Kadri
• David Clarkson
• Leo Komarov
• Mike Santorelli
• David Booth
• Daniel Winnik
• Colton Orr
• Frazer McLaren
• Brandon Kozun
• Josh Leivo
• William Nylander
• Peter Holland
• Carter Asthon
• Matt Frattin
• Dion Phaneuf
• Cody Franson
• Jake Gardiner
• Morgan Rielly
• Stephane Robidas
• Roman Polak
• Korbinian Holzer
• Stuart Percy
• Viktor Loov
• James Reimer
• Jonathon Bernier

As opposed to describing what is likely to happen, I will argue what I would do.

Put Booth on the Long Term Injured Reserve list. Booth is likely out 4 weeks with a broken foot. To be on LTIR you have to miss 10 games and 24 days, which is about the timeline for Booth's return. This will save Booth's $1.1M contract from preventing the Leafs to have 23 bodies while they wait for Booth to be healthy.

Put Cody Franson on the Injured Reserve list. His knee injury got him back on the ice just yesterday (October 4th), I believe it would be better to let Holzer play the first game to let Franson get back to game speed once his knee is fully healed.

Waive Colton Orr and Frazer McLaren. These types of players are no longer of value on an NHL roster. Their inability to skate and control the puck makes them more of a detriment to the team than their face-punching could ever bring as a benefit.

Assign Viktor Loov to the Marlies. Loov didn't play the last 3 pre-season games, and to be honest I'm fairly certain the only reason he was still on the roster was to have a 7th defenseman if Robidas was unable to play. Loov still has some work to do on his footwork before he has an opportunity in the NHL.

Assign William Nylander to MODO of the SHL. Everyone talks about about playing Nylander on North American ice being incredibly important. I don't believe it is as important for a forward as it is a defenseman. Nylander should go back to Sweden and dominate against adult players while bulking up a bit and learning defense a bit better. There's no doubt he has the skills to play in the NHL, but he has to work on his game away from the puck in order to last. Sweden is the best place for him to do that. The forward depth on the Marlies is such that he would have to compete for minutes, which would take his focus away from his personal growth. As such, I believe Sweden is the place for him to be this season.

Assign Josh Leivo to the Marlies. Many were very impressed with Leivo's camp. I, however, was not. I thought his defensive game looked horrid, and his ability to control possession was lacking. He looked very strong in puck battles and created some good opportunities for himself, but he is simply not ready for the NHL yet. Let him play another season of pro, and hopefully he can improve his two-way game in the NHL for next season.

Recall Troy Bodie from the Marlies. How this player wasn't given a good chance to make the roster, and Orr and McLaren were, boggles my mind. Have Bodie come up and fill space while Franson is hurt.

There we are, we're down to 23 active players. Now what?

Well, here's the lines I would put out on opening day, using the Armchair GM feature on Capgeek.

CAPGEEK.COM ARMCHAIR GM ROSTER
Opening day from Rivers
FORWARDS
Joffrey Lupul ($5.250m) / Nazem Kadri ($2.900m) / Phil Kessel ($8.000m) 
James Van Riemsdyk ($4.250m) / Tyler Bozak ($4.200m) / Brandon Kozun ($0.550m) 
Leo Komarov ($2.950m) / Mike Santorelli ($1.500m) / David Clarkson ($5.250m) 
Daniel Winnik ($1.300m) / Peter Holland ($0.775m) / Carter Ashton ($0.851m) 
Troy Bodie ($0.600m) / Matt Frattin ($0.800m) 
DEFENSEMEN
Dion Phaneuf ($7.000m) / Stephane Robidas ($3.000m) 
Jake Gardiner ($4.050m) / Roman Polak ($2.750m) 
Morgan Rielly ($0.894m) / Korbinian Holzer ($0.788m) 
Stuart Percy ($0.863m) / Cody Franson ($3.300m) 
GOALTENDERS
Jonathan Bernier ($2.900m) 
James Reimer ($2.300m) 
BUYOUTS
Mike Komisarek ($0.000m) 
Mikhail Grabovski ($0.000m) 
Tim Gleason ($0.833m) 
BURIED
Petri Kontiola ($0.175m) 
LTIR
David Booth ($1.100m) 
RETAINED SALARIES (0.29% of upper limit)
Carl Gunnarsson ($0.200m—6.35%) 
BONUS OVERAGE
$512,500
------
CAPGEEK.COM TOTALS (follow @capgeek on Twitter)
(estimations for 2014-15)
SALARY CAP: $69,000,000; CAP PAYROLL: $68,741,333; BONUSES: $1,062,500
CAP SPACE (24-man roster): $258,667

Note, Franson should be on Injured Reserve, but there was no option for this. The roster would actually have 23 players, not 24, for this reason.

Once Franson is healthy you can make a decision whether you want 8 D or 14 F to build your 23 man roster. Personally, I would go 14 F, 7 D and 2 G to make 23 players, but the option to have 8 D and keep Stuart Percy while putting Bodie back in the minors is also there.

Once Booth is healthy, a much tougher decision has to be made if you decide to use 13F. If the 14F roster was used, you can just send Bodie down and there's no problems. However, if Bodie is already down you may have to send Percy down, or risk waiving Frattin or Ashton.

There it is. We have the opening day roster for the Toronto Maple Leafs. Here's hoping Dave Nonis takes a similar path. However, I'm doubting Colton Orr gets cut at all. So, bye bye Ashton.

Leafs 2014 Draft Review: The Year of Bill Ny

The 2014 NHL Entry draft wasn't ever going to be something spectacular. There wasn't the pedigree of a Nathan MacKinnon from the 2013 draft or the depth of the 2003 draft. Yet, as always, there were talented players to be had in the top ten picks.

That was where the Toronto Maple Leafs found themselves, after a depressing finish to the 2013-14 season. With the 8th, 68th, 94th, 128th, 158th and 188th overall picks, the Maple Leafs were slated to have a shot at several different skilled forward prospects in that top 10. The 38th pick had been traded earlier in the season to the Anaheim Ducks along with Jesse Blacker in exchange for Peter Holland and Brad Staubitz. Let's take a look at how the Leafs' draft day went.

                                       William Nylander

            Date of Birth: 1996-05-01   Born: Calgary, AB, CAN

            Position: C/RW                   Hand: Right

            Height: 180cm/5'11"           Weight: 77kg/170 lbs

Round 1

With the 8th overall pick, there were a handful of talented forwards that the Leafs were tasked with choosing from. Toronto was happy to select William Nylander (Bill Ny) out of that bunch from MODO of the Swedish Hockey League. Born in Canada to father and former-NHLer Michael Nylander, William grew up in Calgary, AB. After moving to Sweden at the age of 14, he joined the junior development leagues of the Allvenskan league club Södertälje. Later, William would sign with MODO and play for their junior programs, as well as for the main club in the 2013-14 season. William Nylander's skill level is unquestionable. He has been repeatedly mentioned as possibly being the most skilled player out of the 2014 NHL Draft. For the Leafs to have been able to get him at 8th overall, that is a significant sign of future upside. He has tremendous puck handling skill and vision. His ability to control the play in the offensive zone is apparent every time you see him play. From TSN's Director of Scouting, Craig Button, "William exudes confidence when he plays. Exceptional poise with the puck and is always looking to make threatening plays in the offensive zone. Excellent skater who is very difficult to check because of his agility and because he is always changing pace. Can make pinpoint passes in traffic and if you are his line mate, best be ready, as he will provide opportunities. Top line type player." And, from International Scouting Services' Twitter account, https://twitter.com/ISShockey/status/414093041700331520 "A consistent threat; incredible skater & quickness combined w/ elite stickhandling."

After signing his Entry Level Contract over the summer, he is eligible to play in one of 4 different leagues next season. Should he make the team, he could play for the Leafs in the NHL. If he doesn't, the Maple Leafs could assign him to their AHL affiliate, the Toronto Marlies. Alternately, they could send William to his Swedish club, MODO, to continue his development. A last, while unlikely, option would be to assign Nylander to the Canadian Hockey League juniors, where he was drafted in the CHL Import Draft by the Mississauga Steelheads. Where he ends up will largely depend on his performance in the upcoming rookie tournament and training camp. From Dave Nonis, "He'll definitely have a chance to make our team. I think it'd be a long shot for him to do that, but he's going to be given that opportunity and if he's good enough to stick and play and contribute, then we would keep him."

What I believe Leafs management will do is assign him to the Toronto Marlies. There's simply not enough room on the roster to give Nylander many, if any, regular season NHL games, and his skill level is well beyond playing in European Leagues. Playing in North America will better develop Nylander to playing in the NHL as the rules and ice size are the same. It will also give him an opportunity to start becoming comfortable in Toronto and getting to know and train with people form the Leafs training crew. The argument for playing in the SHL could also be made, as Nylander's comfortability and familiarity there could help him develop areas of his game that are lacking.

Round 2

As mentioned before, the Leafs did not have their second round pick. An uneventful round for Toronto.

Rinat Valiev

Date of Birth: 1995-05-11         Birthplace: Nizhnekamsk, RUS

Position: D                                 Hand: Left

Height: 186cm/6'1"                   Weight: 93kg/205lbs

Round 3

With the 68th overall selection, the Leafs selected Rinat Valiev from the Kootenay Ice of the WHL. Valiev is a Russian defenseman who had an interesting road to getting drafted into the NHL.

 Beginning in Russia, playing for Ak Bars Kazan, he came to North America hoping to make the CHL to develop his game. He wasn't drafted in the import draft, and as such he joined the USHL with the Indiana Ice (no affiliation). After a season in the USHL, he was selected by the Kootenay Ice in the CHL Import Draft in 2013. That would have been Valiev's NHL draft year. He was not selected in the NHL draft and thus played an above age (not technically over-age) year for Kootenay before being selected by Toronto in the 2014 NHL Draft. It seems that Toronto reached on a player who no one really projected to go in the third round. However, this could still end up as a solid depth defenseman pick.

What Valiev brings to the game is a strong two-way ability. He's not offensively flashy, and isn't much of a point producer, but he'll be in the right places in his own end and able to carry the puck and move it to the forwards. He considers himself an offensive defenseman, but similar to players like Olivier Ekman-Larsson (similar in style, not ability), he is intelligent and be confident in coverage in his own zone. 

Valiev signed his Entry Level Contract days after being drafted. He is not eligible to play in the NHL, so his course of action is to either go back to junior to play for Kootenay, or go back to Russia and play for Kazan. Likely, the Leafs will assign him to Kootenay to continue his acclimation and growth on the North American ice surface.

J.J. Piccinich

Date of Birth: 1996-06-12      Birthplace: Englewood, NJ, USA

Position: RW                          Hand: Right

Height: 181cm/5'11"              Weight: 86kg/190lbs

Round 4

The Leafs had two picks in this draft, their own selection at 98, as well as Phoenix's selection at 94 from a deal sending Matthew Lombardi to Phoenix. 

The 98th pick was traded on the draft floor to St. Louis, in a trade sending Carl Gunnarsson with Roman Polak coming in return. In my opinion, this trade was a backwards move if you only consider the personnel. When you consider that the Leafs also sent a draft pick, as well as retaining $200K of Carl Gunnarsson's salary, this was definitely a trade that makes you think. What the Leafs get in Polak is a 4/5 physical defenseman. What they had was a 2nd pairing two-way defenseman who had been miscast as a top pairing defenseman. It appears the Leafs made this move solely to have a change in personnel, which I believe is misguided at best.

On to the actual selection, with the 94th pick, the Leafs selected J.J. Piccinich from the Youngstown Phantoms. A playmaking winger out of the USHL, Piccinich is a creative offensive player. He struggles with a bit of hot/cold syndrome, but that is likely more an issue of bad luck than it is of player effort. 

Piccinich is committed to Boston College next season, a powerful NCAA program where he will be playing highly competitive hockey. He'll have an opportunity to play with top 2 2015 selection Jack Eichel, which would be sure to boost his offensive production and growth. Potential-wise, Piccinich could be a bottom 6 production guy given time and the right situation, and Boston College is quite the positive situation to be in.

                                  Round 5  

Dakota Joshua

Date of Birth: 1996-05-15    Birthplace: Dearborn, MI, USA

Position: C                            Hand: Left

Height: 186cm/6'1"              Weight: 83kg/183lbs

With the 128th pick in the draft, the Maple Leafs went to the USHL again to get Dakota Joshua, from the Sioux Falls Stampede. This future power forward has yet to really grow into his big frame. When he does, he'll have no problem shielding the puck for drives to the net and generating possession along the boards. From Chris Dilks on SBNation's College Hockey blog, "Joshua was a bit buried on Sioux Falls roster this year behind some very good veteran players, but still put up a very respectable 38 points in 51 games in his first USHL season." (Source: http://www.sbncollegehockey.com/2014-nhl-draft/2014/6/12/5801180/2014-nhl-draft-prospect-dakota-joshua)



Joshua will be returning to Sioux Falls in 2014 with, hopefully, more of the offensive burden placed on his shoulders. While he works on filling out and offensive production, Ohio State will be anxiously awaiting his arrival for the 2015 NCAA season.

Nolan Vesey

Date of Birth: 1995-03-28    Birthplace: North Reading, MA, USA

Position: LW                        Hand: Left

Height: 188cm/6'2"              Weight: 95kg/209lbs

Round 6

With the 158th pick, the Leafs went back again to the United States, this time picking from USPHL's South Shore Kings, taking Nolan Vesey. Vesey is a small, speedy forward who put up good numbers in the USPHL. He has some issues with "cherry-picking" and inconsistency, but these are things that go away with maturity. His offensive skills were apparent in the Leafs' rookie camp, looking like one of the better forwards at the camp.

Vesey is committed to the University of Maine, where he will compete for ice time on a fairly average Maine team. His path to the NHL will surely involve all 4 years of college and some time in the AHL, if he gets there. It wouldn't be out of the question for someone who possesses the raw skills that Vesey does.

Pierre Engvall

Date of Birth: 1996-05-31      Birthplace: Ljungby, SWE

Position: LW/RW                   Hand: Left

Height: 194cm/6'4"                Weight: 90kg/198lbs

Round 7

Continuing a trend in the Leafs' scouting department, the Leafs take their 7th pick to Sweden, trusting it in the hands of European scouts Thommie Bergman and Peter Ihnacak. This year, selecting Pierre Engvall from the Frölunda junior development program. Engvall is a big kid, a power forward still growing into his frame.

Justin Fisher from TheLeafsNation.com said on Twitter, "for me, Engvall has everything you'd want in a winger: big, skilled, etc., but he's only played in Junior so far. I would love to see him force his way on to the Frolunda men's team this season, but in all likelihood it's another year in J20."